Is the big investor
real estate unwind beginning?
Is the residential
real estate investor 'opportunity window' closing quickly?
And what impact will
that have on the housing market as a whole?
With an economy that
still has job creation issues, depressed income levels, a dysfunctional federal
government, unheard of debt levels and spending that is out of control while
the Fed continues its attempt to 'prime the pump' with its gigantic hedge fund
- where do we go from here?
Stay tuned for more of
the new normal.......
Housing "Recovery" Endgame
Escalates
ZeroHedge
Och-Ziff were perhaps a little early but used the last 10
months to unwind their real estate and exit the landlord business as
the hedge-fund sponsored echo-bubble in housing rolled over into the
mainstream. "American-Homes-4-Rent"'s IPO suggested a scramble to exit.
With 60% of home purchases now being cash-only (explains
the ongoing and massive layoffs in the mortgage business not
just due to rate-driven weakening of demand), it is therefore a concern
when one of the biggest funds playing in this space - OakTree Capital - announces
plan to exit the buy-to-rent trade - selling roughly 500 fully-leased homes. As Reuters notes, it is yet another indication that early
investors are looking to cash-out on the "recovery" in U.S. housing
prices.
Oaktree, which manages about $76
billion, and its partner Carrington Mortgage Services are entertaining
bids for the portfolio of fully-leased homes as they seek to exit from the
buy-to-rent trade that has become popular the past two years with hedge funds and
private equity firms.
Oaktree, which specializes in
distressed investing, and Carrington had initially planned on
converting their portfolio into a real estate investment trust. But investors
have now decided to simply exit the trade. Their asking price for the
portfolio could not be learned.
Earlier this year, Reuters first reported
that Oaktree, after partnering with Carrington in early 2012, was souring on
the buy-to-rent trade after seeing returns on rents from single-family homes begin to
compress.
There has been a transformation in
the U.S. buy-to-rent trade over the past year, which initially began with a
number of small hedge fund and speculators buying the wreckage of the housing
bust in southern California, Florida, Arizona and
Nevada.
Fueled in part by the Federal
Reserve's policies, which made it easy to borrow money to buy distressed real estate, the
buying spree led investors to become more aggressive in seeking higher-yielding
assets.
To date, Blackstone is
the single-largest buyer of foreclosed homes, owning about 32,000 in a dozen
states. Other big acquirers are: American Homes for Rent, Colony
Capital and Silver Bay Realty Trust Corp.
American Homes, Silver Bay and a few
other institutional buyers of foreclosed homes have tried to monetize their
investment by converting their home portfolios into publicly traded real estate
investment trust.
Who will be left holding the
bag this time?
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